Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.059603 0.067524 0.075621 0.084487 0.093891 0.103543 0.114168
2025-09-07 0.047186 0.058794 0.071234 0.085419 0.101021 0.117543 0.136255
2025-09-14 0.039543 0.053448 0.068937 0.087162 0.107742 0.130018 0.155726
2025-09-21 0.035104 0.050845 0.068950 0.090780 0.115921 0.143569 0.175900
2025-09-28 0.030339 0.047184 0.067186 0.091873 0.120824 0.153115 0.191315
2025-10-05 0.029555 0.048184 0.070763 0.099039 0.132566 0.170275 0.215185
2025-10-12 0.025142 0.044109 0.067830 0.098173 0.134718 0.176307 0.226298
2025-10-19 0.022487 0.042044 0.067157 0.099837 0.139688 0.185450 0.240846
2025-10-26 0.019692 0.039496 0.065651 0.100301 0.143081 0.192650 0.253069
2025-11-02 0.017627 0.037755 0.065035 0.101742 0.147550 0.201029 0.266590
2025-11-09 0.015283 0.035358 0.063374 0.101724 0.150133 0.207102 0.277362
2025-11-16 0.012290 0.031606 0.059626 0.098826 0.149009 0.208640 0.282714
2025-11-23 0.009664 0.028180 0.056245 0.096434 0.148647 0.211305 0.289702
2025-11-30 0.008243 0.026611 0.055415 0.097376 0.152469 0.219046 0.302767
2025-12-07 0.007215 0.025599 0.055311 0.099238 0.157425 0.228145 0.317444
2025-12-14 0.006758 0.025607 0.056702 0.103118 0.164953 0.240384 0.335879
2025-12-21 0.005775 0.024408 0.056167 0.104288 0.168954 0.248278 0.349097
2025-12-28 0.006191 0.026191 0.060288 0.111959 0.181401 0.266588 0.374861
2026-01-04 0.004928 0.024146 0.058308 0.111033 0.182630 0.271039 0.383924
2026-01-11 0.004289 0.023373 0.058283 0.112813 0.187362 0.279800 0.398175
2026-01-18 0.003524 0.022120 0.057395 0.113308 0.190368 0.286395 0.409788
2026-01-25 0.003000 0.021357 0.057258 0.114848 0.194729 0.294664 0.423425
2026-02-01 0.002348 0.020035 0.056090 0.114829 0.196976 0.300259 0.433785